Tuesday, March 4, 2008

Simply A Musing

Haven't blogged in months, but I figured I'd put up my column that appears in today's Times. Nick, the publisher, cut out Lorne Gunter's latest column from Feb. 25 in the National Post for Ken, the editor, and I to read as he often does when he finds a Post columnist debunking climate change science.

So here's my (sarcastic) response to Gunter's column (which is below mine). Haven't heard from Nick yet about my column . . . hopefully I'm still employed:

Another left wing myth

By Paul J. Henderson
phenderson@chilliwacktimes.com

The Earth is flat.

I am now absolutely convinced of it, and no one can tell me otherwise.

All my life I've had this inclination that we lived on a flat world yet all these alarmists are out there screaming, "no, no, the Earth is a sphere!" Come on, give me a break.

How do you explain spirit levels used by carpenters? Hmm? Huh? Yaaa, that's right.

How could a ball ever come to rest on solid ground? A sphere cannot be balanced on a sphere, therefore, I don't see any way this planet could be spherical? Does that not make perfect, logical sense?

But the liberal media and education system long have been convinced by these spherical world alarmists and so that's all we hear about. Well I'm here to tell you the truth: the Earth is indeed flat as a pancake.

For much of my life I had been so convinced by this spherical world conspiracy theory that I've had my flat world belief hammered out of me. But now I feel revitalized in my ability to believe what just plain seems right.

My motivation came in the form of National Post columnist Lorne Gunter who recently wrote a column (see below) decrying the claims of environmental scientists that the climate on Earth is changing and the global temperature is rising as a result of human impacts.

Gunter cites anecdotal evidence that there was a lot of snow this winter, so how could the Earth be getting warmer? Interesting logic.

He even cites a small detail pointed out by a scientist or two that suggests (not directly, but by inference) that in fact the world might be getting colder and an ice age is coming.

Sure, the vast majority of mainstream leading climate scientists have concluded through the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change that, "most of the observed increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations"

It might be the case that all scientific evidence has been leaning towards the conclusion that fossil fuel use is warming the planet, thereby disrupting the planet's weather systems, and if nothing is done to curb fossil fuel use thing will only get worse.

Yet despite the overwhelming scientific evidence this brave neo-conservative columnist from Alberta is standing up to the facts to say , "No, global warming is a myth."

Inspired by the bravery of the Lorne Gunters and Terence Corcorans of Canada, and their counterparts, the Bill O'Reillys and Ann Coulters in the U.S., I too am standing up to the conspiracy of alarmism to say, no more of your spherical planet hogwash!

Obviously the Earth is flat, and I'm not going to kid myself anymore.

So who's with me people? Join me in my crusade to convince yet more people that the world is indeed flat as it seems, for this is only the beginning.

Next up on my list of myths to debunk is gravity: does it really make things fall?

Sounds like another left wing myth to me.

-------

Lorne Gunter: Welcome to the new ice age

February 25, 2008f

Snow cover over North America and much of Siberia, Mongolia and China is greater than at any time since 1966.

The U.S. National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) reported that many American cities and towns suffered record cold temperatures in January and early February. According to the NCDC, the average temperature in January "was -0.3 F cooler than the 1901-2000 (20th century) average."

China is surviving its most brutal winter in a century. Temperatures in the normally balmy south were so low for so long that some middle-sized cities went days and even weeks without electricity because once power lines had toppled it was too cold or too icy to repair them.

There have been so many snow and ice storms in Ontario and Quebec in the past two months that the real estate market has felt the pinch as home buyers have stayed home rather than venturing out looking for new houses.

In just the first two weeks of February, Toronto received 70 cm of snow, smashing the record of 66.6 cm for the entire month set back in the pre-SUV, pre-Kyoto, pre-carbon footprint days of 1950.

And remember the Arctic Sea ice? The ice we were told so hysterically last fall had melted to its "lowest levels on record? Never mind that those records only date back as far as 1972 and that there is anthropological and geological evidence of much greater melts in the past.

The ice is back.

Gilles Langis, a senior forecaster with the Canadian Ice Service in Ottawa, says the Arctic winter has been so severe the ice has not only recovered, it is actually 10 to 20 cm thicker in many places than at this time last year.

OK, so one winter does not a climate make. It would be premature to claim an Ice Age is looming just because we have had one of our most brutal winters in decades.

But if environmentalists and environment reporters can run around shrieking about the manmade destruction of the natural order every time a robin shows up on Georgian Bay two weeks early, then it is at least fair game to use this winter's weather stories to wonder whether the alarmist are being a tad premature.

And it's not just anecdotal evidence that is piling up against the climate-change dogma.

According to Robert Toggweiler of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory at Princeton University and Joellen Russell, assistant professor of biogeochemical dynamics at the University of Arizona -- two prominent climate modellers -- the computer models that show polar ice-melt cooling the oceans, stopping the circulation of warm equatorial water to northern latitudes and triggering another Ice Age (a la the movie The Day After Tomorrow) are all wrong.

"We missed what was right in front of our eyes," says Prof. Russell. It's not ice melt but rather wind circulation that drives ocean currents northward from the tropics. Climate models until now have not properly accounted for the wind's effects on ocean circulation, so researchers have compensated by over-emphasizing the role of manmade warming on polar ice melt.

But when Profs. Toggweiler and Russell rejigged their model to include the 40-year cycle of winds away from the equator (then back towards it again), the role of ocean currents bringing warm southern waters to the north was obvious in the current Arctic warming.

Last month, Oleg Sorokhtin, a fellow of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences, shrugged off manmade climate change as "a drop in the bucket." Showing that solar activity has entered an inactive phase, Prof. Sorokhtin advised people to "stock up on fur coats."

He is not alone. Kenneth Tapping of our own National Research Council, who oversees a giant radio telescope focused on the sun, is convinced we are in for a long period of severely cold weather if sunspot activity does not pick up soon.

The last time the sun was this inactive, Earth suffered the Little Ice Age that lasted about five centuries and ended in 1850. Crops failed through killer frosts and drought. Famine, plague and war were widespread. Harbours froze, so did rivers, and trade ceased.

It's way too early to claim the same is about to happen again, but then it's way too early for the hysteria of the global warmers, too.

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